气候风险评估与适应路径

A psychophysical measurement on subjectivewell-being and air pollution

Although the physical effects of air pollution on humans are well documented, there may be even greater impacts on the emotional state and health. Surveys have traditionally been used to explore the impact of air pollution on people’s subjective well-being (SWB). However, the survey techniques usually take long periods to properly match the air pollution characteristics from monitoring stations to each respondent’s SWB at both disag...

CEADs研究：开发洪水足迹核算体系量化洪灾间接经济影响及灾后恢复

随着全球气候变化幅度的增加和人口城市化的快速发展，极端天气气候引发的自然灾害越来越频繁的出现在人类视线中，对人类的生产生活和社会经济发展带来了不可忽视的影响。然而，人们所熟知的自然灾害的经济影响，大多都属于直接经济影响，即固定资产如居民住房及基础公共设施等的损失和破坏，远低于自然灾害所造成的总经...

CEADs研究：空气污染导致的健康影响与家庭收入之间的量化关系

据世界卫生组织估计，与PM2.5相关的空气污染导致中国每年过早死亡人数达到100万以上。城乡居民生活中直接消费的化石燃料（用于炊事、取暖、出行等）是我国大气污染的重要来源；而居民生活中消费的各类产品和服务中隐含的大气污染物排放（即产品生产和运输过程中产生的排放）也对空气质量和人群健康有重要影响。由于消费水...

Inequality of household consumption and air pollution-related deaths in China

Substantial quantities of air pollution and related health impacts are ultimately attributable to household consumption. However, how consumption pattern affects air pollution impacts remains unclear. Here we show, of the 1.08 (0.74-1.42) million premature deaths due to anthropogenic PM2.5 exposure in China in 2012,20% are related to household direct emissions through fuel use and 24% are related to household indirect emissions embodied...

《One Earth》创刊期选发三篇CEADs团队研究

1 Grand Challenges Cannot Be Treated in Isolation 减轻贫困，保护环境和缓解气候变化是当今世界面临的一些重大挑战。随着现实问题的日益突出，当下人们也越来越意识到，不同问题之间是相互联系和作用的，例如，在通过发展工业生产以改善生活水平、创造就业机会的同时，却可能加剧了污染和温室气体的排放。因此，从整体的角度来协调解...

CEADS合作：评估全球贸易对青藏高原气候变化的影响

青藏高原作为仅次于南极、北极的冰雪储地，是全球20 %以上人口的主要淡水供应源，被称为亚洲水塔。近几十年来，受气候变化的影响，青藏高原的升温速度达到全球平均水平的两倍以上，其冰川呈现着快速消退的趋势。研究表明，到本世纪末，全球温度升高1.5°C将导致青藏高原上的冰川面积减少约三分之一。青藏高原的升温和冰川...

The cascade of global trade to large climate forcing over the Tibetan Plateau glaciers

Black carbon (BC) aerosols constitute unique andimportant anthropogenic climate forcers that potentially accelerate the retreatof glaciers over the Himalayas and Tibetan Plateau (HTP). Here we show that alarge amount of BC emissions produced in India and China-a region of BCemissions to which the HTP is more vulnerable compared with other region-arerelated to the consumption of goods and services in the USA and Europe throughinternationa...

CEADS研究：大气污染减排对北京近年空气质量改善具有决定性贡献

为改善空气质量，我国政府于2013年发布了《大气污染防治行动计划》（即“大气十条”），其中要求2017年北京市年均PM2.5浓度达到60μg/m3。为完成这一艰巨目标，北京市及周边地区先后实施了一系列大气污染控制政策，区域空气质量迅速改善，北京PM2.5年均浓度由2013年的89.5 μg/m3下降至2017年的58 μg/m3，实现了国内外普遍认为难以完成的...

CEADs合作：在《自然·可持续发展》发文讨论人类活动对气温季节性变化的影响

气候变化已对人类生存环境产生了重要影响。气候变化的归因不仅是科学研究的一个重要科学问题，而且是国际气候谈判的重要科学依据。然而，近年来相关研究的绝大部分工作聚焦在了近几十年的器测资料时段，而且主要是针对变暖趋势和极端气候事件个例开展了归因研究。目前的广泛认识是，人类活动对20世纪50年代以来的气温变...

Detection of human influences on temperature seasonality from the nineteenth century

It has been widely reported that anthropogenic warming is detectable with high confidence after the 1950s. However, current palaeoclimate records suggest an earlier onset of industrial-era warming. Here, we combine observational data, multiproxy palaeo records and climate model simulations for a formal detection and attribution study. Instead of the traditional approach to the annual mean temperature change, we focus on changes in tempe...